NFL Handicapping Picks – Week 1

NY GIANTS (-4) VS. Washington Redskins: The Giants kick off the 2008 NFL season and the protection of their Tremendous Bowl title on Thursday evening in opposition to a Redskins crew that begins the Jim Zorn period. Zorn has put in a pass-happy scheme for Washington and QB Jason Campbell has the accuracy and powerful arm to make it work. In fact that is additionally the third totally different offense he has needed to study within the final three years so anticipate some struggles early on as he tries to adapt. DE Jason Taylor comes over from Miami to shore up the road however he presently is listed as questionable with a knee sprain. For the Giants, the lack of DE Osi Umenyiora to season-ending ACL surgical procedure and retirement of Michael Strahan will definitely take some chew out of the cross rush however Justin Tuck is on the verge of turning into a star and Mathias Kiwanuka has nice cross rush skill so issues will not disintegrate in that facet. The offense has the possibility to be excellent with an ideal corp. of RB’s and strong depth on the WR place led by Plaxico Burress who appears to be like to place his ankle points behind him in his quest for a brand new pact. So far as the sport goes, the Giants do qualify in a strong 28-15 ATS angle in opposition to a division foe at residence however the -4 is a tad excessive for our liking. Each groups shall be jazzed up a nationally televised kickoff so anticipate the most effective from each squads. Washington additionally has some angles that favor them right here so it is best to remain away from this sport altogether. If the road drops to -3 then leap on the Giants with confidence however at -4 it is in that hazard zone of a subject aim sport. One main commandment of soccer betting is to be further cautious with Week 1 video games as a result of lack of know-how of the groups and that actually is the case with this sport. THE PICK: PASS

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-7.5) VS. St. Louis Rams:*******BEST BET*****

BUFFALO BILLS (-1) VS. Seattle Seahawks: The Seahawks come into the season as probably the most overrated groups within the NFL. The pass-happy ‘Hawks have main points within the receiving division as Deion Department wont be out there till presumably midseason and the main cross catcher appears to be like to be the very mediocre Nate Burleson who flopped in that function with Minnesota. The infusion on the RB place with Julius Jones and TJ Duckett will certainly assist and the protection appears to be like nice led by LB Lofa Tatupu and CB Marcus Trufant. This crew nevertheless struggled on the street at instances in 2007 and now they have to open 2008 throughout the nation in opposition to a Payments crew that at all times offers an excellent effort. Buffalo is nothing to put in writing residence about however they’ve an rising offense led by tremendous gifted RB Marshawn Lynch and really sensible QB Trent Edwards. All-Professional OT Jason Peters remains to be holding out as we write this which may harm however the remainder of the unit is strong sufficient to get the job completed. The protection additionally appears to be like to be good as DE Matt Schobel leads an excellent cross speeding unit with some rising gamers within the secondary. They actually stand an excellent likelihood of beating the Seahawks right here as a significant betting no-no goes with West Coast groups in Week 1 on the street within the East. That is the setup right here and the worth clearly rests on the Payments who will not be getting a lot love as many bettors will take the factors with the seemingly higher crew. Worth is the place you make your cash and the house crew has it after which some. THE PICK: Buffalo Payments (-1)

New York Jets (-3) VS. MIAMI DOLPHINS:*****STRONG OPINION***

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-16) VS. Kansas Metropolis Chiefs:******STRONG OPINION***

Detroit Lions (-3) VS. ATLANTA FALCONS: That is really the worst sport on the slate for Week 1 and is one that appears to be unwatchable. The Falcons will begin the Matt Ryan period proper off the bat in opposition to a Lions crew whose protection cannot cease a retirement residence crew. Ryan will certainly lean on the operating of latest RB Michael Turner and the cross catching of rising star Roddy White. The offense line is a joke nevertheless and it would not be shocking to me so se Ryan problem David Carr’s report for many sacks taken. For Detroit, they proceed to wallow in mediocrity however they proceed so as to add items to the offense in rookie RB Kevin Smith who appeared good in preseason and second-year wideout Calvin Johnson who shall be a star very quickly. The Lions being the Lions nevertheless, they then exit and signal a washed up Rudi Johnson late of the Bengals and proceed to provide the ball to mistake-prone QB Jon Kitna. So anticipate nothing however struggles for each groups all 12 months. This sport is one to avoid for positive and I might moderately watch girls’s tennis than sit via this. THE PICK: PASS

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-3.5) VS. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Saints went into the low season hell-bent on bettering a protection that allow them down approach too usually final 12 months. The offense may very well be the most effective within the NFL nevertheless led by the regular hand of QB Drew Brees and an explosive receiving trio of RB Reggie Bush, WR Marques Colston, and TE Jeremy Shockey. If the protection will be even common, then New Orleans may very well be sitting on an enormous season. For the Buc’s, Jon Gruden has efficiently modified the look of his crew on the fly as new younger additions to the protection have reestablished the custom of a tough hitting cease unit. MLB Barrett Rudd and DE Gaines Adams are on the cusp of stardom and so they type the proper mix with nonetheless efficient vets LB Derrick Brooks and CB Ronde Barber. The offense is as soon as once more led by QB Jeff Garcia after failing to accumulate Brett Favre and the Earnest Graham appears to be like to construct off a breakout 12 months within the operating assault. It is a basic match up of nice protection versus nice offense and needs to be enjoyable to observe. The Saints struggled in opposition to Tampa final season and it would not be a shock to see Gruden’s bunch steal one on the street. Both approach this appears to be like to be tight contest between two bitter division rivals. The additional half level makes Tampa Bay a lovely decide. THE PICK: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5)

Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5) VS. BALTIMORE RAVENS: The Joe Flacco period begins in Baltimore as each Kyle Boller (harm) and Troy Smith (sickness) could not reply the bell. Flacco performed properly in preseason at instances and has proven the instruments that made Baltimore salivate over his choice within the draft. Depend on a heavy dose of RB Willis McGahee because the Ravens attempt to ease the transition for his or her franchise QB. On protection is the place this crew’s power lies as regular as Ray Lewis and firm look to clamp down on opposing offenses as they’ve completed so properly over time. They are going to look to just do that in opposition to a strong on paper Bengals offense. led by QB Carson Palmer. Palmer actually has a lot of weapons to throw to as Chad Johnson and TJ Houshmandzadeh type presumably the most effective wideout mixture within the NFL. So far as the operating sport is anxious, Chris Perry will get his likelihood after Rudi Johnson was lower and there’s no telling whether or not he can maintain up over the course of the season as accidents have been an issue. It is a very powerful sport to name because the Bengals struggled tremendously on the street final season however with Flacco beginning for Baltimore, issues may take awhile for them to get going. One development that does stick out is that the Ravens qualify in a 33-19-1 ATS residence underdog season opening angle so based mostly on that facet, we’ll go together with the house crew to remain aggressive. THE PICK: Baltimore Ravens (+1.5)

Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) VS. TENNESSEE TITANS: These groups performed a loopy collection final season as every gained on the opposite’s residence turf. Each groups additionally had profitable 2007 seasons as every certified for the postseason, with the Jags successful a sport in Pittsburgh. Expectations are actually excessive as we go into 2008 so this shall be a barometer sport for each squads. Jacksonville wants contributions from a so-so receiving unit as a way to take that subsequent step and the Titans wants QB Vince Younger to study to be a greater passer for them to progress. This sport figures to be a defensive contest as each models can lockdown any offense so the UNDER is price a glance. The Titans are additionally within the higher betting place as a house underdog at residence in opposition to a division foe which has gone 33-19-1 ATS. Similar to the Cincy-Baltimore sport, we’ll take the factors and again that strong development. THE PICK: Tennessee Titans (+3)

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-6.5) VS. Houston Texans:*******BEST BET******

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (-9) VS. Carolina Panthers: One other fascinating sport right here because the Chargers have the look of a crew destined to make the Tremendous Bowl and the Panthers look to make a run of their very own now that QB Jake Delhomme is again. The Chargers have stars all around the subject at nearly each place and 14-2 will not be out of the query. The offensive is explosive with RB LaDainian Tomlinson, TE Antonio Gates, and WR’s Chris Chambers and Vincent Jackson. The protection is simply nearly as good with All-Professional LB Shawne Merriman, DE Luis Castillo, DT Jamaal Williams, and CB Antonio Cromartie. Carolina however extra of a blue collar look to them however do not take this crew flippantly. Delhomme is a Tremendous Bowl runner up so he has confirmed he can win video games and take his crew deep into the postseason. Additionally rookie RB Jonathan Stewart is the proper slot in coach John Fox’s run heavy offense. The issue is that WR Steve Smith is suspended for the primary two weeks of the season resulting from sucker-punching teammates Ken Lucas in follow. With out Smith the offense appears to be like nearly punch much less, a minimum of from a passing standpoint. It is nearly too straightforward to say the Chargers will cowl this one simply however based mostly on the matchups, you possibly can’t argue in opposition to it. The one drawback is that Carolina traditionally is a superb wager as an underdog beneath Fox (31-16-2 ATS, with Delhomme at QB its 19-4-1 ATS). These are some critical traits to look over when going with San Diego because the Chargers are nice at residence as evidenced by them having a 22-6-1 ATS when not favored by greater than 11. So based mostly on final development and the actual fact Smith is out, leans us towards the house squad. THE PICK: San Diego Chargers (-9)

Dallas Cowboys (-5.5) VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS:******STRONG OPINION*****

Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) VS. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: Definitely nobody shall be paying a lot consideration to this one as each groups determine to wrestle. The 49ers are in worse form than the Cardinals nevertheless as its been decided that journeyman QB JT O’Sullivan offers them their finest likelihood to win. Unreal. The Cardinals had their very own QB points as Kurt Warner beat out Matt Leinart in preseason. That is really excellent news for Arizona as Warner had an ideal 12 months final 12 months and has rather more skill to run the offense. WR’s Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald ought to each have big years with Warner on the helm and if RB Edgerrin James may give them yet another good 12 months, then this unit shall be a significant pressure. The protection wants work nevertheless however they do have some good items in S Adrian Wilson and DE Bertrand Berry. They actually wont should work arduous in opposition to a horrible 49ers offense that has solely RB Frank Gore to scare folks. Mike Martz comes over from Detroit to shore up the unit however there isn’t any expertise to work with. Hate going with Arizona on the street as they actually have a protracted monitor report of letting right down to the opponent however no approach we again the ‘Niners in any scenario. THE PICK: Arizona Cardinals (-2.5)

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-9.5) VS. Chicago Bears: Colts QB Peyton Manning appears to be like like he’ll play after having an abscess eliminated through the preseason. He’ll as soon as once more lead an offense that is without doubt one of the NFL’s finest and is expertly run. Manning can have 4 nice choices to throw to in star WR Reggie Wayne, TE Dallas Clark, rising WR Anthony Gonzalez, and the getting back from harm WR Marvin Harrison. Harrison’s return is large in that the offense shall be a lot more durable to comprise with him on the sector. Throw within the nice operating of Joseph Addai and the Colts are one of many bets models on the market on offense. The protection however struggled towards the tip of final season resulting from accidents however star DE Dwight Freeney is again and S Bob Sanders appears to be like like he is able to go. When all arms are on deck, this can be a very powerful protection to attain factors on. The Bears actually aren’t any strangers in relation to struggling to attain factors. Kyle Orton is in QB and rookie RB Matt Forte will run the ball. Not very scary. The protection is respectable as there are large names up and down the roster however this is similar group that struggled badly towards the tip of 2007. The Colts will be capable to rating regardless of who they play and the Bears simply haven’t got the flexibility to hold tight. If Manning would not play nevertheless then we cross. THE PICK Indianapolis Colts (-9.5)

GREEN BAY PACKERS (-2.5) VS. Minnesota Vikings: The Aaron Rogers period begins on Monday evening at residence in opposition to division rival Minnesota. The entire Brett Favre drama was actually a significant distraction for the Pack however they’ve mentioned all alongside that Rogers is their man and he appeared all proper in preseason. For Minnesota, QB Tarvaris Jackson is the important thing to the entire crew’s fortunes as each different unit appears to be like excellent. If Jackson will be even considerably respectable, then the Vikings may very well be Tremendous Bowl-bound. The defensive position appears to be like to be top-of-the-line models ever assembled with incoming star DE Jared Allen becoming a member of stud DT’s Kevin and Pat Williams to make life depressing for opposing passers. That can spell large hassle for Rogers who actually could not have drawn a worse project from a cross speeding sense. RB Adrian Peterson is seeking to construct on a ridiculously superior rookie 12 months and so Inexperienced Bay have to be prepared on D to verify this sport would not get away from them early. It is a very powerful sport to name because it may go both approach. There may be approach to a lot uncertainty right here so it could be finest to remain away as there aren’t any traits pointing firmly towards both squad.. THE PICK: PASS

Denver Broncos (-3) VS. OAKLAND RAIDERS: There may be nothing that Mike Shannahan loves greater than to beat up the Oakland Raiders. Ever since he was unceremoniously fired by Al Davis as coach many eons in the past, Shanahan has made it a degree to stay it to his former boss every time he can. The chance is there once more because the Raiders are very younger and uncooked on offense with QB JaMarcus Russell and RB Darren McFadden. The wideout corps is weak and there certainly shall be struggles for Russell early on. The protection wants a comeback from DE Derrick Burgess so as to have the ability to keep in video games. The Broncos however have an rising expertise in QB Jay Cutler who has efficiently handled the diabetes that plagued him final 12 months. Cutler has a cannon of an arm and shall be seeking to air it out. The operating sport can even churn alongside as at all times with Selvin Younger being the man to choose up the workload. Oakland may actually make strides this season however they should undergo some rising pains earlier than they will take that step. Denver is the protected alternative on this sport. THE PICK: Denver Broncos (-3)

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